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Park Co is based in a country whose currency is the dollar ($). The company regularly imports goods denominated in euro (€) and regularly sells goods denominated in dinars. Two of the future transactions of the company are as follows:
Three months: Paying €650,000 for imported goods
Six months: Receiving 12 million dinars for exported capital goods
Park Co has the following exchange rates and interest rates available to it:
Bid | Offer | |
Spot exchange rate (dinars per $1): | 57.31 | 57.52 |
Six-month forward rate (dinars per $1): | 58.41 | 58.64 |
Spot exchange rate (€ per $1): | 1.544 | 1.552 |
Three-month forward rate (€ per $1): | 1.532 | 1.540 |
Six-month interest rates: | ||
Borrow | Deposit | |
Dinars | 4.0% | 2.0% |
Dollars | 2.0% | 0.5% |
The finance director of Park Co believes that the upward-sloping yield curve reported in the financial media means that the general level of interest rates will increase in the future, and therefore expects the reported six-month interest rates to increase.
Which hedging methods will assist Park Co in reducing its overall foreign currency risk?
(1) Taking out a long-term euro-denominated loan
(2) Taking out a dinar-denominated overdraft
A 1 only
B 2 only
C Both 1 and 2
D Neither 1 nor 2
【解析】
這個(gè)小題我們直接看給出的匯率表就很容易做出判斷。我們用很通俗的方法來(lái)判斷這個(gè)題。
(dinars per 1):六個(gè)月后的匯率高于現(xiàn)在的匯率,也就是說(shuō)現(xiàn)在借入一美元相當(dāng)于57.3 dinars,六個(gè)月后就是58.4 dinars,而我們只需還57.3dinars,會(huì)有結(jié)余,所以對(duì)我們有利,所以可以借入dinars規(guī)避風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。(€ per 1):三個(gè)月后的匯率低于現(xiàn)在的匯率,也就是說(shuō)現(xiàn)在借入一美元相當(dāng)于1.544歐元,三個(gè)月后一美元只相當(dāng)于1.532歐元,我們需要還1.544歐元,需要拿出大于一美元的錢(qián),所以對(duì)我們是不利的,所以我們不能借入歐元。所以本題選B。
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