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中國大舉增持日本國債(雙語)

來源: FTCHINESE 編輯: 2010/07/08 09:34:20  字體:

  Chinese investors bought a net Y541bn ($6.2bn) of Japanese government bonds in the first four months of the year amid concerns over Europe's debt woes.

  因?qū)W洲的債務困境感到擔心,中國投資者今年頭四個月凈買入5410億日元(合62億美元)日本國債。

  Analysts said the scale of the buying – more than double the full-year record of Y253.8bn in 2005 – was notable compared with the rate of increase in China's foreign exchange reserves in the first quarter.

  中國2005年全年凈買入2538億日元日本國債,曾創(chuàng)下歷史紀錄,而今年頭四個月的購買規(guī)模已相當于2005年全年的兩倍多。分析師表示,相對今年一季度中國外匯儲備的增長速度而言,這一購買規(guī)模令人矚目。

  Data from the People's Bank of China revealed that the country's FX reserves grew by $48bn in the first three months of the year. Assuming that the PBoC continued to accumulate reserves at the same pace, this implies that purchase of JGBs accounted for nearly 10 per cent of new reserves.

  中國央行(PBoC)的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,今年一季度,中國新增外匯儲備480億美元。假設中國央行繼續(xù)以同樣的速度累積外匯儲備,那么日本國債的購買額大約占到新增外匯儲備的10%。

  But Derek Halpenny at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ said investors should be cautious about concluding that the JGB purchases were signs of an upturn in confidence in Japan by China.

  但三菱東京UFJ銀行(Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ)的德里克•赫爾潘尼(Derek Halpenny)表示,投資者應對如下結(jié)論保持警惕,即中國增持日本國債表明中國對日本經(jīng)濟的信心正在回升。

  He said the data showed that 96 per cent of the invested funds were in securities maturing in less than a year, which indicated that “the China investment was more about liquidity than confidence in Japanese fiscal policy”.

  赫爾潘尼說,數(shù)據(jù)顯示,在中國今年頭四個月所買入的日本國債中,有96%屬于期限不到一年的短期國債——這表明,“中國的這一投資更多是出于流動性考慮,而不是對日本的財政政策表示出信心”。

  And “the turmoil in the eurozone was a clear factor that will not persist indefinitely”. The investments “could be viewed as being made by default”.

  “歐元區(qū)的危機顯然也是因素之一,但這一危機不會無限期持續(xù)下去??梢哉J為,中國做出這一投資是由于缺少其它選擇。”

  Analysts cautioned that the data from Japan's finance ministry did not give the full picture of Chinese buying of JGBs.

  分析師警告稱,日本財務省的數(shù)據(jù)并未給出中國購買日本國債情況的全貌。

  The data only take into account transactions from the country of origin. For example, if a Chinese investor bought JGBs via a London-based brokerage, a UK transaction would be recorded.

  該數(shù)據(jù)只考慮交易發(fā)起國。舉例來說,假如一家中國投資者通過倫敦的某家經(jīng)紀商購買日本國債,那么這筆交易將記在英國名下。

  Nevertheless, some currency analysts said demand from China had probably been a driver of yen strength. The Japanese currency is up over 20 per cent against the euro since the beginning of the year.

  盡管如此,一些外匯分析師仍表示,中國對日本國債的需求,很可能是推動日元走強的因素之一。自今年初以來,日元兌歐元累計升值20%以上。

  Junya Tanase, of JPMorgan, said: “China purchases of JGBs seem to have been one factor supporting the yen . . . though it has not been the main driver.”

  摩根大通(JPMorgan)的Junya Tanase表示:“中國購買日本國債的行為似乎是支撐日元的因素之一……盡管不是主要因素。”

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