A global survey of business leaders released on Tuesday shows that while most expect China to dominate the world economy in a decade’s time, it won’t be through innovation.

　　周二發(fā)布的一項(xiàng)在對全球商界領(lǐng)袖的調(diào)查顯示，大部分受訪者預(yù)計(jì)，中國將在未來10年引領(lǐng)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)，但并非通過創(chuàng)新來實(shí)現(xiàn)這一點(diǎn)。

　　In fact, over a third of those surveyed by the Harvard Business Review thought China already was the global economic leader, but ranked the country only just ahead of Japan in terms of innovation, and way behind the US.

　　實(shí)際上，在《哈佛商業(yè)評論》(Harvard Business Review)進(jìn)行的這項(xiàng)調(diào)查中，超過三分之一的受訪者認(rèn)為中國已然是全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者。但在創(chuàng)新力排名上，中國僅勉強(qiáng)排在日本之前，遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)落后于美國。

　　Adi Ignatius, editor of the HBR, commented that “half of the respondents expect China to surpass the US as the global economic leader in the next ten years. On the other hand, there’s debate among this group about whether China is capable of overtaking the US as the leading source of innovation as well. Most think not.”

　　《哈佛商業(yè)評論》主編阿迪?伊格內(nèi)休斯(Adi Ignatius)評論道：“一半受訪者預(yù)計(jì)中國將在未來10年超過美國，成為全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者。至于中國是否同樣能夠取代美國成為最大的創(chuàng)新來源，這個(gè)問題還存在爭議。大部分受訪者持否定意見。”

　　Comments made by respondents also questioned whether China and India had the economic policies and internal structures to sustain their explosive economic growth.

　　受訪者還對中國和印度是否具備維持爆炸性經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的經(jīng)濟(jì)政策和內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)提出了質(zhì)疑。

　　While beyondbrics has a healthy scepticism of surveys, the HBR research did meet the criteria to be taken seriously (1,379 respondents, sensible questions) - and shows that the prevailing narrative of Chinese dominance is not universally shared.

　　盡管Beyondbrics對問卷調(diào)查持善意的懷疑態(tài)度，但《哈佛商業(yè)評論》的這項(xiàng)調(diào)查卻達(dá)到了相關(guān)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)（有1379名受訪者，問題選得合理），值得認(rèn)真對待。這項(xiàng)調(diào)查還顯示出，時(shí)下盛行的中國優(yōu)勢論并不被普遍接受。

　　Which country is the most innovative in the world?

　　哪個(gè)國家是全球最具創(chuàng)新力的國家？

　　US 46.3% 　　　美國 46.3%

　　China 10.4% 　　中國 10.4%

　　Japan 8.5% 　　日本 8.5%

　　India 6.0%　　　 印度 6.0%

　　Germany 4.4% 　德國 4.4%

　　South Korea 2.8% 　韓國 2.8%

　　Brazil 2.2% 　　巴西 2.2%

　　Singapore 2.1% 　　新加坡 2.1%

　　Israel 2.0% 　　以色列 2.0%

　　Switzerland 2.0% 　　瑞士 2.0%

　　source: HBR 　　來源: 《哈佛商業(yè)評論》

　　But the location of respondents – primarily based in North America (38.8 percent) and Europe (34.4 percent), with only ten percent in Asia – may explain why Asian innovation was given such a low score.

　　但受訪者的地理分布——主要來自于北美（38.8%）和歐洲（34.4%），亞洲只占10%——或許能夠解釋為什么亞洲的創(chuàng)新力獲得如此之低的評價(jià)。

　　More importantly, the high score for the US in innovation but its predicted fall from economic power shows that most business leaders don’t think the country can innovate its way out of debt.

　　更重要的是，盡管美國在創(chuàng)新方面獲得高分，但受訪者預(yù)計(jì)其經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力將會(huì)下降，這表明大部分商界領(lǐng)袖認(rèn)為美國不可能靠創(chuàng)新擺脫債務(wù)。